Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 9:02 AM, 44 voters in 12 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 92,748 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 59,051 - 135,366). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 9:02 AM | 1561 |
c(2.5% = 1187)
|
c(97.5% = 1893)
|
| 02 | 9:02 AM | 2625 |
c(2.5% = 1939)
|
c(97.5% = 3116)
|
| 03 | 9:02 AM | 1161 |
c(2.5% = 664)
|
c(97.5% = 1839)
|
| 04 | 9:02 AM | 1106 |
c(2.5% = 578)
|
c(97.5% = 1955)
|
| 05 | 9:02 AM | 3505 |
c(2.5% = 2665)
|
c(97.5% = 4000)
|
| 06 | 9:02 AM | 820 |
c(2.5% = 551)
|
c(97.5% = 1220)
|
| 07 | 9:02 AM | 423 |
c(2.5% = 101)
|
c(97.5% = 1840)
|
| 08 | 9:02 AM | 3533 |
c(2.5% = 2701)
|
c(97.5% = 4262)
|
| 09 | 9:02 AM | 1877 |
c(2.5% = 1371)
|
c(97.5% = 2442)
|
| 10 | 9:02 AM | 1779 |
c(2.5% = 1056)
|
c(97.5% = 2684)
|
| 11 | 9:02 AM | 693 |
c(2.5% = 349)
|
c(97.5% = 1295)
|
| 12 | 9:02 AM | 1270 |
c(2.5% = 747)
|
c(97.5% = 2077)
|
| 13 | 9:02 AM | 1120 |
c(2.5% = 620)
|
c(97.5% = 1923)
|
| 14 | 9:02 AM | 535 |
c(2.5% = 356)
|
c(97.5% = 750)
|
| 15 | 9:02 AM | 1912 |
c(2.5% = 1496)
|
c(97.5% = 2377)
|
| 16 | 9:02 AM | 545 |
c(2.5% = 244)
|
c(97.5% = 1127)
|
| 17 | 9:02 AM | 1401 |
c(2.5% = 787)
|
c(97.5% = 2310)
|
| 18 | 9:02 AM | 1339 |
c(2.5% = 985)
|
c(97.5% = 1750)
|
| 19 | 9:02 AM | 392 |
c(2.5% = 121)
|
c(97.5% = 1266)
|
| 20 | 9:02 AM | 460 |
c(2.5% = 240)
|
c(97.5% = 994)
|
| 21 | 9:02 AM | 3624 |
c(2.5% = 2389)
|
c(97.5% = 5346)
|
| 22 | 9:02 AM | 2278 |
c(2.5% = 1805)
|
c(97.5% = 2850)
|
| 23 | 9:02 AM | 956 |
c(2.5% = 471)
|
c(97.5% = 1741)
|
| 24 | 9:02 AM | 835 |
c(2.5% = 485)
|
c(97.5% = 1355)
|
| 25 | 9:02 AM | 771 |
c(2.5% = 352)
|
c(97.5% = 1408)
|
| 26 | 9:02 AM | 1347 |
c(2.5% = 904)
|
c(97.5% = 2051)
|
| 27 | 9:02 AM | 1326 |
c(2.5% = 734)
|
c(97.5% = 2096)
|
| 28 | 9:02 AM | 585 |
c(2.5% = 267)
|
c(97.5% = 1206)
|
| 29 | 9:02 AM | 699 |
c(2.5% = 465)
|
c(97.5% = 1010)
|
| 30 | 9:02 AM | 1651 |
c(2.5% = 1332)
|
c(97.5% = 1876)
|
| 31 | 9:02 AM | 1315 |
c(2.5% = 952)
|
c(97.5% = 1498)
|
| 32 | 9:02 AM | 946 |
c(2.5% = 429)
|
c(97.5% = 1942)
|
| 33 | 9:02 AM | 558 |
c(2.5% = 158)
|
c(97.5% = 1885)
|
| 34 | 9:02 AM | 2557 |
c(2.5% = 1650)
|
c(97.5% = 3646)
|
| 35 | 9:02 AM | 1385 |
c(2.5% = 668)
|
c(97.5% = 2634)
|
| 36 | 9:02 AM | 2053 |
c(2.5% = 1396)
|
c(97.5% = 2837)
|
| 37 | 9:02 AM | 594 |
c(2.5% = 261)
|
c(97.5% = 1304)
|
| 38 | 9:02 AM | 1324 |
c(2.5% = 986)
|
c(97.5% = 1773)
|
| 39 | 9:02 AM | 2880 |
c(2.5% = 1948)
|
c(97.5% = 3768)
|
| 40 | 9:02 AM | 2313 |
c(2.5% = 1306)
|
c(97.5% = 3902)
|
| 41 | 9:02 AM | 867 |
c(2.5% = 360)
|
c(97.5% = 1718)
|
| 42 | 9:02 AM | 953 |
c(2.5% = 385)
|
c(97.5% = 2276)
|
| 43 | 9:02 AM | 687 |
c(2.5% = 242)
|
c(97.5% = 1976)
|
| 44 | 9:02 AM | 744 |
c(2.5% = 385)
|
c(97.5% = 1310)
|
| 45 | 9:02 AM | 1025 |
c(2.5% = 515)
|
c(97.5% = 1836)
|
| 46 | 9:02 AM | 1825 |
c(2.5% = 1490)
|
c(97.5% = 2156)
|
| 47 | 9:02 AM | 416 |
c(2.5% = 230)
|
c(97.5% = 745)
|
| 48 | 9:02 AM | 1054 |
c(2.5% = 606)
|
c(97.5% = 1698)
|
| 49 | 9:02 AM | 1324 |
c(2.5% = 716)
|
c(97.5% = 2353)
|
| 50 | 9:02 AM | 2337 |
c(2.5% = 1645)
|
c(97.5% = 2948)
|
| 51 | 9:02 AM | 1239 |
c(2.5% = 725)
|
c(97.5% = 2108)
|
| 52 | 9:02 AM | 1798 |
c(2.5% = 1214)
|
c(97.5% = 2375)
|
| 53 | 9:02 AM | 961 |
c(2.5% = 428)
|
c(97.5% = 1822)
|
| 54 | 9:02 AM | 613 |
c(2.5% = 221)
|
c(97.5% = 1401)
|
| 55 | 9:02 AM | 1168 |
c(2.5% = 491)
|
c(97.5% = 2401)
|
| 56 | 9:02 AM | 1844 |
c(2.5% = 891)
|
c(97.5% = 3721)
|
| 57 | 9:02 AM | 1597 |
c(2.5% = 842)
|
c(97.5% = 2821)
|
| 58 | 9:02 AM | 2657 |
c(2.5% = 1410)
|
c(97.5% = 4776)
|
| 59 | 9:02 AM | 1410 |
c(2.5% = 884)
|
c(97.5% = 2128)
|
| 60 | 9:02 AM | 1122 |
c(2.5% = 676)
|
c(97.5% = 1721)
|
| 61 | 9:02 AM | 1526 |
c(2.5% = 840)
|
c(97.5% = 2656)
|
| 62 | 9:02 AM | 976 |
c(2.5% = 385)
|
c(97.5% = 2063)
|
| 63 | 9:02 AM | 1693 |
c(2.5% = 1031)
|
c(97.5% = 2888)
|
| 64 | 9:02 AM | 833 |
c(2.5% = 386)
|
c(97.5% = 1594)
|
| 65 | 9:02 AM | 1324 |
c(2.5% = 745)
|
c(97.5% = 2487)
|
| 66 | 9:02 AM | 2704 |
c(2.5% = 1469)
|
c(97.5% = 4450)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions