Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 9:02 AM, 44 voters in 12 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 92,748 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 59,051 - 135,366). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 9:02 AM 1561 c(2.5% = 1187) c(97.5% = 1893)
02 9:02 AM 2625 c(2.5% = 1939) c(97.5% = 3116)
03 9:02 AM 1161 c(2.5% = 664) c(97.5% = 1839)
04 9:02 AM 1106 c(2.5% = 578) c(97.5% = 1955)
05 9:02 AM 3505 c(2.5% = 2665) c(97.5% = 4000)
06 9:02 AM 820 c(2.5% = 551) c(97.5% = 1220)
07 9:02 AM 423 c(2.5% = 101) c(97.5% = 1840)
08 9:02 AM 3533 c(2.5% = 2701) c(97.5% = 4262)
09 9:02 AM 1877 c(2.5% = 1371) c(97.5% = 2442)
10 9:02 AM 1779 c(2.5% = 1056) c(97.5% = 2684)
11 9:02 AM 693 c(2.5% = 349) c(97.5% = 1295)
12 9:02 AM 1270 c(2.5% = 747) c(97.5% = 2077)
13 9:02 AM 1120 c(2.5% = 620) c(97.5% = 1923)
14 9:02 AM 535 c(2.5% = 356) c(97.5% = 750)
15 9:02 AM 1912 c(2.5% = 1496) c(97.5% = 2377)
16 9:02 AM 545 c(2.5% = 244) c(97.5% = 1127)
17 9:02 AM 1401 c(2.5% = 787) c(97.5% = 2310)
18 9:02 AM 1339 c(2.5% = 985) c(97.5% = 1750)
19 9:02 AM 392 c(2.5% = 121) c(97.5% = 1266)
20 9:02 AM 460 c(2.5% = 240) c(97.5% = 994)
21 9:02 AM 3624 c(2.5% = 2389) c(97.5% = 5346)
22 9:02 AM 2278 c(2.5% = 1805) c(97.5% = 2850)
23 9:02 AM 956 c(2.5% = 471) c(97.5% = 1741)
24 9:02 AM 835 c(2.5% = 485) c(97.5% = 1355)
25 9:02 AM 771 c(2.5% = 352) c(97.5% = 1408)
26 9:02 AM 1347 c(2.5% = 904) c(97.5% = 2051)
27 9:02 AM 1326 c(2.5% = 734) c(97.5% = 2096)
28 9:02 AM 585 c(2.5% = 267) c(97.5% = 1206)
29 9:02 AM 699 c(2.5% = 465) c(97.5% = 1010)
30 9:02 AM 1651 c(2.5% = 1332) c(97.5% = 1876)
31 9:02 AM 1315 c(2.5% = 952) c(97.5% = 1498)
32 9:02 AM 946 c(2.5% = 429) c(97.5% = 1942)
33 9:02 AM 558 c(2.5% = 158) c(97.5% = 1885)
34 9:02 AM 2557 c(2.5% = 1650) c(97.5% = 3646)
35 9:02 AM 1385 c(2.5% = 668) c(97.5% = 2634)
36 9:02 AM 2053 c(2.5% = 1396) c(97.5% = 2837)
37 9:02 AM 594 c(2.5% = 261) c(97.5% = 1304)
38 9:02 AM 1324 c(2.5% = 986) c(97.5% = 1773)
39 9:02 AM 2880 c(2.5% = 1948) c(97.5% = 3768)
40 9:02 AM 2313 c(2.5% = 1306) c(97.5% = 3902)
41 9:02 AM 867 c(2.5% = 360) c(97.5% = 1718)
42 9:02 AM 953 c(2.5% = 385) c(97.5% = 2276)
43 9:02 AM 687 c(2.5% = 242) c(97.5% = 1976)
44 9:02 AM 744 c(2.5% = 385) c(97.5% = 1310)
45 9:02 AM 1025 c(2.5% = 515) c(97.5% = 1836)
46 9:02 AM 1825 c(2.5% = 1490) c(97.5% = 2156)
47 9:02 AM 416 c(2.5% = 230) c(97.5% = 745)
48 9:02 AM 1054 c(2.5% = 606) c(97.5% = 1698)
49 9:02 AM 1324 c(2.5% = 716) c(97.5% = 2353)
50 9:02 AM 2337 c(2.5% = 1645) c(97.5% = 2948)
51 9:02 AM 1239 c(2.5% = 725) c(97.5% = 2108)
52 9:02 AM 1798 c(2.5% = 1214) c(97.5% = 2375)
53 9:02 AM 961 c(2.5% = 428) c(97.5% = 1822)
54 9:02 AM 613 c(2.5% = 221) c(97.5% = 1401)
55 9:02 AM 1168 c(2.5% = 491) c(97.5% = 2401)
56 9:02 AM 1844 c(2.5% = 891) c(97.5% = 3721)
57 9:02 AM 1597 c(2.5% = 842) c(97.5% = 2821)
58 9:02 AM 2657 c(2.5% = 1410) c(97.5% = 4776)
59 9:02 AM 1410 c(2.5% = 884) c(97.5% = 2128)
60 9:02 AM 1122 c(2.5% = 676) c(97.5% = 1721)
61 9:02 AM 1526 c(2.5% = 840) c(97.5% = 2656)
62 9:02 AM 976 c(2.5% = 385) c(97.5% = 2063)
63 9:02 AM 1693 c(2.5% = 1031) c(97.5% = 2888)
64 9:02 AM 833 c(2.5% = 386) c(97.5% = 1594)
65 9:02 AM 1324 c(2.5% = 745) c(97.5% = 2487)
66 9:02 AM 2704 c(2.5% = 1469) c(97.5% = 4450)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions